Another Round Of Snow Coming Soon

It will be cloudy tonight, but no rain, sleet, freezing rain, or snow is forecast until late tomorrow afternoon at the earliest. The latest model guidance continues to have accumulating in the Tri-State this weekend, but this will be a much weaker disturbance than the one that come through Wednesday.

Because this disturbance will be much weaker, snowfall totals will likely be much lower. Before we see accumulating snow, there will be a mix of light rain and snow Friday evening. The latest SREF model shows this mix of rain and snow around 10pm Friday; notice the rain winning out tomorrow evening:

dec27-03zsat

By 7am Saturday, however, the SREF model shows mostly snow in the Cincinnati area:

dec27-12zsat

This is likely going to be accumulating snow with temperatures in the upper 20s and lower 30s early Saturday morning. How much? The SREF has a 30-50% chance in the Tri-State (depending on where you live) for 1″+ of snow between 7pm Friday and 7am Sunday:

dec27-12satsnowchance

While this is NOT a forecast, the 7am run of high-resolution ECMWF model is rather aggressive with the threat of accumulating snow Friday night and Saturday:

dec27-12zecmwf

Again, this is raw model data and not a forecast. These numbers appear to be a bit high, but isolated amounts up to 1.5-2″ appear possible with this system. These numbers are preliminary; adjustments are likely in the next 24-36 hours. I would rather ramp totals up than ramp them down. There will likely be some variations in snowfall totals from one Tri-State community to another.

We will release a snowfall forecast in the next 24 hours…stay tuned.

This entry was posted in Weather. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s