Flurries Tonight, Longer Range Forecast Looks Warmer With Rain

Two disturbances will push through the Ohio Valley between now and midnight; the first will move through over the next couple of hours, and the second will move through later this evening. A satellite and radar snapshot as of 3:55pm shows these two pieces of upper-level energy approaching the Cincinnati area:

feb5-355pmsatrad

The latest HRRR model’s forecast radar product has flurries favored northeast of the Tri-State around 9pm tonight:

feb5-9pmrefl

Only flurries are forecast in the Tri-State this evening; little to no accumulation is forecast in and around the Tri-State. The latest run of Precisioncast gives no Tri-State community accumulating snow through tomorrow morning:

feb5-adonissnow

The latest run of Microcast gives us little to no accumulation through tomorrow morning:

feb5-mcsnow

Fog and dense fog will be a concern tomorrow morning. Visibilities in spots may be under a 1/2 or even 1/4 of a mile. Once the fog dissipates, ample sunshine is forecast Wednesday. Clouds will increase tomorrow night and Thursday, and a line of showers will sweep through Thursday night and early Friday. The best chance for rain in the next week will be late Sunday and Monday.

While rain will come and go in the week ahead, near or above average temperatures are forecast through the weekend. This morning’s ECMWF model has warm air surging into the Ohio Valley ahead of Thursday night’s cold front:

feb5-ec8amthur

We should make it into the 50s Thursday afternoon. Some colder air will swing into the Ohio Valley Friday and Saturday (highs will be 40-45° each day), but warmth returns to the Tri-State by Sunday night and early Monday:

feb5-ec6zmon

Temperatures will likely each into the 50s both Sunday and Monday afternoon. The latest ECMWF and GFS models bring another shot of cold air into the Tri-State by Tuesday or Wednesday next week.

Advertisements
This entry was posted in Weather. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s